Texas Rainmaker
70% Chance of Bulls*#@
April 3rd, 2007 10:39 am

Is there any other job that you can be wrong at more often and remain employed?

From the AP:

The 2007 Atlantic hurricane season should be “very active,” with nine hurricanes and a good chance that at least one major hurricane will hit the U.S. coast, a top researcher said Tuesday.

Forecaster William Gray said he expects 17 named storms in all this year, five of them major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. The probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast this year: 74 percent, compared with the average of 52 percent over the past century, he said.

This is the same guy that predicted last year would “very active” also:

[2006]’s hurricane season is likely to be very active…

Klotzbach and Gray foresee 17 named storms this season, which runs from June through November. That’s nearly twice the average of 9.6 storms a year from 1950 to 2000 but well below last year’s record 27 storms, 15 of them hurricanes (winds 74 mph or more).
[…]
The latest 2006 forecast by the Tropical Meteorology Project at Colorado State University envisions a higher potential for intense hurricanes to strike the East Coast.

He wasn’t even close.

I would actually worry if this guy predicted a mild season. Before predicting 2006 would be a major year, only to see it as one of the mildest in years, he said 2005 would be relatively mild…

Oops.

Posted by TexasRainmaker |
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